Jaylen Brown has consistently showcased his skills this postseason, raising the question of whether he’s the Celtics’ best player. Our NBA betting predictions suggest that his performance will remain strong in Game 3 against Dallas.
Jaylen Brown’s Impact on the Court
Despite Jason Kidd’s attempts to stir debate about the Celtics’ hierarchy, Jaylen Brown has been letting his on-court performance speak for itself. His impressive displays in Games 1 and 2 have been pivotal, not only filling the box score but also providing significant defensive pressure on Luka Doncic. As the series moves to Dallas, with the Celtics as slight underdogs, we can expect Brown to continue his stellar form.
Key Betting Prop: Jaylen Brown Over 23.5 Points
When Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum attack the Dallas Mavericks’ defense, good things tend to happen. This strategy has worked well in the first two games, and there’s no reason for the Celtics to change their approach now.
I strongly recommend betting on Brown to exceed 23.5 points. Although he narrowly missed this mark in Game 2, his consistent performance, especially with Kristaps Porzingis potentially out due to injury, makes this a sound bet.
Brown has scored over 20 points in both Finals games so far, despite shooting poorly from three-point range (3-for-11) and missing five free throws in Game 1. He also surpassed 24 points in all four games of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Indiana Pacers, demonstrating the consistency needed for a points prop bet.
Road Performance and Matchup Advantages
Brown’s recent road performance adds to the confidence in betting the Over. He has averaged 27 points per game in his last four away games and has been particularly effective when opponents focus too heavily on Tatum.
Brown’s ability to drive to the basket against Dallas defenders, except perhaps Derrick Jones Jr., often results in easy points or trips to the free-throw line. Additionally, with Doncic not at full strength and Porzingis’ touches potentially being redistributed, Brown could see more field goal opportunities.
Additional Betting Considerations
Despite six turnovers, Brown made intelligent plays in Game 2, contributing seven assists. However, relying on him to replicate this assist total is risky since he had three or fewer assists in the previous four games, and the Celtics have several quality ball-handlers.
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His rebounding is inconsistent, as Tatum, Al Horford, and the Boston backcourt also contribute on the boards. Therefore, it might be wise to avoid betting on Brown’s combined rebounds and assists tonight.
Potential Challenges
Foul trouble hasn’t been an issue for Brown in this series so far, but this could change in Dallas if the Mavericks receive more favorable calls at home. While this scenario might affect his rebounding numbers, his scoring prop should still hold.
Defensive Contributions
A noteworthy prop bet is Brown to record at least one block. Even though he’s primarily defending Doncic, Brown has shown he can provide rim protection, especially if Porzingis is absent. He blocked three shots in Game 1 and has had at least one block in five of his last seven games.
Conclusion: Jaylen Brown’s Consistency
Jaylen Brown has proven to be a crucial player for the Celtics this postseason. As the series continues in Dallas, betting on him to score over 23.5 points seems a smart move given his recent form and the dynamics of the matchup. Additionally, considering prop bets on his blocks could offer value, reflecting his defensive capabilities. As always, keeping an eye on injury reports and game-time decisions will be essential for informed betting.